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EIA reduces forecast for 2026 renewable diesel production

March 11, 2026

BY Erin Krueger

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EIA maintains 2026, 2027 production forecasts for biobased diesel fuels in August STEO

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By Erin Krueger

August 11, 2026

Advanced Biofuels Business Markets 

The U.S. Energy Information Administration maintained its 2026 and 2027 production forecasts for biodiesel, renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, released Aug. 11.

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XCF Global Inc., an emerging U.S.-based producer of renewable diesel and SAF, on Aug. 7 provided an operational update on renewable diesel production, initial fuel sales and ongoing optimization work at its New Rise Renewables Reno facility.

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Par Pacific Holdings Inc. released second quarter financial results on Aug. 5, reporting its Hawaii renewable fuels facility ramped up production during the three-month period after commencing operations in April.

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Neste reported record results for the second quarter of 2026. EBITDA for the renewable products segment reached an all-time high, supported by a record high sales margin and sales volumes exceeding 1 million metric tons.

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The U.S. EPA on July 16 released data showing nearly 2.16 billion RINs were generated under the RFS in June, up 7% when compared to the same month of last year. Total RIN generation for the first half of 2026 reached 11.94 billion.

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